Super Bowl LIX Free Picks & Predictions – SharpsHQ
The biggest game of the year is finally here, and at SharpsHQ, we’re breaking down our top bets to help you cash in on Super Bowl LIX! We’ve identified strong plays based on matchups, trends, and value from multiple sportsbooks. Let’s dive into our best bets and props for the big game.
🏆 Chiefs Moneyline (-130 DraftKings | -124 FanDuel)
Kansas City has been here before, and with Patrick Mahomes leading the charge, the Chiefs have the experience edge. Their defense has stepped up in big moments, and Andy Reid’s play-calling will be a difference-maker in yet another Super Bowl win. We’re backing Mahomes & Co. to secure another Lombardi Trophy and Make History with the first 3 Peat in NFL history.
🔥 Game Total: Under 49.5 Points (-115 FanDuel)
Super Bowls often start slow, with both teams feeling each other out. Kansas City’s defense has been elite all season, and they’ll look to limit explosive plays. Expect a grind-it-out game, where possessions matter and the clock keeps running. The Under is the sharp play.
💰 First Quarter OVER 9.5 Points
While we expect the full game to trend under, the first quarter could see early fireworks. Both offenses will have scripted plays, and fast starts are common before defenses adjust. A couple of early field goals or a quick strike makes this a solid value play.
🚀 Player Props & Touchdown Scorers
📌 Xavier Worthy First Touchdown Scorer (+1200)
📌 Xavier Worthy OVER 5.5 Receptions | OVER 54.5 Receiving Yards
The rookie speedster is a game-breaker and a deep threat who could take the top off the defense early. Expect Mahomes to look his way often, making him a great bet for both volume and a potential first touchdown.
📌 DeAndre Hopkins Anytime TD Scorer (+600)
A big red-zone target, Hopkins could be in line for a red zone score. At +600, this is excellent value for a a WR who could see high-leverage targets close to the end zone
🎯 Yardage & Reception Props
📌 Samaje Perine OVER 6.5 Receiving Yards
Perine is a reliable check-down option, and against a strong pass rush from Phili , Mahomes could turn to him for quick dump-offs. This number is too low for his role.
📌 DeVonta Smith OVER 49.5 Receiving Yards/Longest reception OV 19.5
Smith has been a steady playmaker, and in a game where his team may need to throw, expect him to hit this number with ease.
This is a number that has cashed in 11 of Smith’s 16 games this year, including twice in the playoffs. He also has one game with a 19-yard reception, so it is a rare occurrence for him to not at least approach this number. With more potential passing for the Eagles if this game turns into a shootout, I like the chances Smith gets Over this number.
📌 Dallas Goedert OVER 48.5 Receiving Yards | UNDER 4.5 Receptions
Goedert is capable of big plays, making his yardage a great bet, but with limited targets, the under on his receptions adds value.
🏃 Rushing Props
📌 Saquon Barkley: Longest Rush OVER 23.5 Yards
Barkley has the burst to break a big one, and all it takes is one well-blocked run for this prop to cash.
📌 Kareem Hunt UNDER 49.5 Rushing Yards
With limited volume and a tough defensive front to face, Hunt may struggle to hit this number.
📌 Patrick Mahomes Over 11.5 Longest Rush -120
Patrick Mahomes has had a run of 12 or more yards in four straight games. He rushed 11 times in AFC championship game vs. Buffalo. With Philly’s ability to get quick pressure look for Mahomes to scramble and cash this Over.
🏆 Final Score Prediction: Chiefs 24 – Eagles 20 We’re rolling with Kansas City to win in a defensive battle, cashing in on key props and sharp plays. Be sure to shop for the best lines, follow SharpsHQ for more expert picks, and enjoy Super Bowl LIX!